Will the prediction market track produce a champion? If so, can Opinion do it? Let me start with a fair statement: The prediction market is definitely a good narrative. Dopamine + event-driven + game attributes make it naturally suitable for explosive growth. But from the perspective of making money or investing, there is really only one question: Who will pay for the prediction market in the long run? Events like the U.S. elections and the World Cup can bring peaks, but after the events end: Who will be the market maker? Who will provide the counterparty? How will the project team continue to make money and support the coin price? This is also the reason why most prediction market projects do not go far. Why do I specifically mention @opinionlabsxyz? Not because "it is also a prediction," but because it attempts to solve the most difficult aspect of the prediction market mechanism: Introducing an incentivized market-making mechanism to reduce the liquidity fluctuations of purely betting on events Weakening the dependency on one-time events, encouraging more frequent and sustainable prediction markets The project team can continuously extract profits from the trading structure, rather than just benefiting from peaks. At least at the design level, Opinion is not waiting for the next big election or World Cup to survive. But I still won't say that Opinion will definitely win right now. The prediction market is currently a fierce competition: - Mechanism is more important than narrative - Self-sustainability is more important than financing - Longevity is more important than volume At the same time, doing well does not mean making a lot of money. Which competitor will you bet on in the prediction market?