Why Bitcoin Explodes at Settlement and Not Adoption (Paper vs Spot) Given this structure, a 5 to 10X Bitcoin settlement squeeze is not just possible, it’s the likely outcome. Most people think Bitcoin rallies on adoption. That’s wrong. Bitcoin reprices when claims are forced to settle. Paper vs Spot: The Core Mistake There are two Bitcoins trading under the same ticker: Spot Bitcoin bearer asset, on chain, final settlement, capped at 21M. Paper Bitcoin exchange balances, ETFs, derivatives, lending claims. Same ticker. Different physics. Price is not set by total supply. Price is set by marginal tradable supply. Paper Bitcoin expands that supply without creating coins. The Setup (Hard Numbers) Reduce the system to one representative venue: Real reserves: 100 BTC Customer claims: 130 BTC Paper multiple: 1.3× Spot price: $100,000 The exchange is economically short 30 BTC....