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Jalan pedesaan, bawa saya pulang, ketika $C berusia 7x, tempat saya berada, seharusnya port penuh, sekarang saya merasa terdistorsi, jalan pedesaan, BAWA SAYA PULANG.

3 Jan 2024
Logic for $C is pretty simple:
8x P/E
$86 TBV
Limited CRE Exposure
Cut costs by $1 - $2 Billion a year and you get to $6.50 EPS
Remember, back in the glory days, even when Citi was making less, 2017-2019 you had $15 Billion in repurchases every year
Covid came, they got scared and were put in regulatory jail even though at this point Wells Fargo has robbed at least 25% of their customers atone point or another
YTD Repurchases of only $1.5 Billion (sad), but each share repurchased creates $35 of value for other shareholders
Can see $C finishing out the year at $65 if we get back to $1- $1.5 Billion in quarterly repurchases
Own it at 0.50% weight. Not really into big banks, but it is the cheapest of the Big 4 and who doesn't love a comeback story
Only concern is now that they are firing people left and right, it looks a little insensitive to go cuckoo on the buyback, so they may take some time and pretend they are sad making "touch decisions" and wait until 2025 to go nuts
Lastly, Tier 1 Capital Ratio of 15.4% is the highest it has been since 2016, only $JPM is slightly higher

Bisa saja pergi sekuat tenaga $IGIC $GOOGL $BTI $CUBI $C dan memanggilnya sehari. Baiklah :/
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