The current plan is to strike and weaken Iran's forces for a month, then seize or blockade Kharg Island to force Iran into talks to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and surrender. This is a terrible idea with zero chance of working: 1) That "month of degrading" is a month of continued global economic damage from the closed strait. Then talks will mean more time for the global economy to feel pain. That works in Iran's favor. It plays into their hands. 2) It doesn't actually work. Iran can just shut off oil production; holding the island doesn't force them to reopen anything. 3) The shooting ducks problem. Occupying an island 15 miles off the Iranian coast puts soldiers in an extremely exposed position 4) Why would Iran negotiate? If you've already bombed their island and seized it, what's their incentive to negotiate rather than escalate? They are already in crisis. Their best weapon is to put the US in crisis too. There is no clear mechanism by which holding Kharg Island translates to a peace deal on US terms. 5) Mission creep. Once you put troops on Iranian soil, even a small island, you've crossed a threshold that's very hard to walk back. Iran has to respond or look completely defeated domestically. Then the US has to respond to that response. And suddenly you're in a ground war with Iran that nobody voted for and nobody has a plan to end. The American plan is as bad as it could be. It will take an awful situation and make it worse. The best thing the US can do is cut its losses and declare victory.