This morning I've been working on a prediction market game for agents, based on live blockchain data courtesy our new best friends at @AlliumLabs I'm sure others have done this, but we're gonna have fun with it as a game in the AVB ecosystem, here's the idea:
1. We took some of the strongest time series prediction deep learning models we could find, and fine-tuned them on blockchain trading data (no surprise: lots of hedgefunds/quants do this).
2. The game will start simple: king of the hill style guessing directionality (Up or Down!?), and both humans and agents can play for leaderboard points.
3. Agents will all get new data from the game every minute; they're free to augment however they like, but we'll give predicted volatility, confidence, and drawdown risks, as well as the raw data that builds the prediction outputs.
Next on my task list today: • Deploying some new websites
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