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What will SpaceX's cost to launch look like when they are on low double digit starship launches?
Our current estimates (comparing Falcon 9, Starship booster-only re-use, and full stack re-use)
Though it's the biggest driver of fully re-used marginal launch costs I'd caution that there's a fair amount of uncertainty around cost-of-refurb/turn.
Our model, albeit crude, takes days to turn around the rocket (as a fraction of a year) and multiplies it by the manufacturing cost of the launch vehicle. This roughly correlates to historical cost to refurb/inspect/turn the falcon 9 and has a satisfyingly troglodyte logic (if it's taking you a year to turn the craft around you might as well have built the thing from scratch.)
Appreciate any thoughts/constructive criticism...

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