Trump has stated that he has selected the candidate for the next Federal Reserve chair, and the person responsible for the selection, Bessent, has narrowed it down to the following five candidates. Currently, Hassett has a significantly higher probability on Polymarket, and the market generally believes that the next Federal Reserve chair will have to carefully balance Trump's demand for lower interest rates with maintaining investor confidence. Hassett's probability is as high as nearly 50%, and if it really is him, there’s still a 50% profit margin to consider, but thinking about the final decision-maker being Trump, it’s better to be cautious 😓.