The most productive area of debate in criminal justice policy lies well away from the poles of "Criminals are human garbage who should be treated as badly as possible, because they're GARBAGE" and "It's not the criminals we should indict, it's SOCIETY AND THE POLICE" but unfortunately those are the poles towards which online discourse seems to naturally gravitate.

You're going to hear a lot in the coming year about universities restructuring and downsizing or closing many majors or PhD programs, and while it is understandable that many people will assume this is a response to Trump or "antiwoke" pressure, you should keep in mind that we just hit peak high school senior and there has been a longterm decline in a lot of once-popular majors like English and history. These two facts would be a significant driver of restructuring even if Kamala Harris had won and we were halfway through Year One of the Joy Administration.

This is laughable. There has been *one* violent crime reported in Georgetown since January. Crime here is a problem, but no one has convincingly explained why this 30-day “solution” is anything more than political theater.

Trump’s inflation numbers are an abject disaster. No way the GOP keeps the House, if this data holds. Trump's net approval is -25 pt. He led Harris by 9 pt on inflation in 2024. Vs. the GOP at-large, Dems lead by 1 pt on inflation. Dems trailed by 13 going into 2022 midterms.

10 months into the fiscal year and Net Interest is the second largest category of federal spending Customs duties are now running much higher than last year, but still only 3% of total receipts this FY 12-month deficit just shy of $2 trillion

Homicide is hard to fake and it's fallen quite a lot, though the level remains unacceptably high.

Worth noting that UChicago pioneered an admissions model where incoming PhD cohorts were determined by employment results of outgoing cohorts. This is where that thinking leads!

It would be nice if people didn't so naturally polarize between the two worst solutions: "lock people up forever" and "defund the police".

There are a zillion reasons Trump couldn't do this, starting with due process, moving on to the fact that DC is very small and does not have remote areas where you can stick your high-security prison that cuts gang leaders off from contact with the outside world, and finishing with the fact that DC, being very small, does not have law-enforcement authority over the neighborhoods where a lot of the offenders come from, which are located in Maryland and Virginia.

This is embarrassing. The whole "My d*ck is bigger!" based on where you went to graduate school is sad. Look, Antoni is a partisan hireling who will DISTORT the data collection process, and then misrepresent the results. The BLS staff is quite competent, and an ignorant cipher "in charge" would be fine, so long as s/he didn't actually interfere. Antoni is going to interfere, and make the data useless. He's introducing bias, not noise, into the errors.