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US inflation today, according to real-time transaction data:
Truflation US CPI: 1.65%, up from 0.79% 1st of March
Core CPI: 1.36%, up from 1.25% 1st of March
Goods CPI: 3.54%, up from 0.95% 1st of March
Services CPI: 0.66% stable, 0.69% 1st of March
Truflation US PCE today: 2.43%, up from 1.61% 1st of March
Core PCE: 2.38% stable from 2.35% 1st of March
This and more details are data are updated daily on our website,
Key Takeaways:
Our custom CPI remains below 2% but has increased substantially in March due to gasoline prices following the crisis in the Middle East, after a strong cooling across multiple categories in January and February.
The PCE index, which is calculated by mapping our transaction price data to the BEA methodology and weights, is now above 2%, after reaching its lowest level since 2020 (1.18%) on February 1, 2026.
Both core PCE and CPI remain fairly stable for now, suggesting that the latest inflationary trends are still temporary, although we do expect oil price fluctuations and shipping constraints to soon translate into more sticky categories of goods.



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