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AI vs. Software
There's some truth to the weakness in software.
Anthropic and OpenAI, despite their $1 Tn silly forecasts, are seeing rapid revenue growth from enterprise.
CFOs have budgets.
They aren't going to also grow spending on software at the same time.
In the short run, a budgetting cycle has a fixed spend (typically a % of revenues).
So, a number of SaaS companies will struggle to grow revenues.
And the forward EPS estimates are still very high for a number of software companies.
The best thing you can do is avoid over-priced software.
Ignore the forward PE. Focus on the trailing PE.
Look for true value with software that has a high switching cost and deep specialization.
Software as a category is not a deep bargain or sale across the board.
And, most software stocks do remain over-priced.
Lastly, I noticed Citrini got back into software stocks.
That probably means the re-test now.
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