March 5th Hot Project 2 @predictdotfun Tweet Summary 1. Project Introduction PredictFun is a decentralized prediction market platform built on the BNB Chain. The project focuses on allowing users to predict and trade the outcomes of various events, belonging to the blockchain prediction market sector. Recently, it acquired its competitor Probable, aiming to integrate resources within the Binance ecosystem and strengthen its market position. 2. Today's Highlights 1. Acquisition of Competitor Announced: PredictFun officially announced the completion of its acquisition of Probable, another prediction platform within the BNB Chain ecosystem, ending the previous "three-way competition" and integrating both parties' users and resources. 2. Support from the Binance Ecosystem: Multiple tweets mentioned that this merger is a choice to form a united front within the Binance ecosystem, aiming to stop the "internal conflict" and respond collectively to external competition, with PredictFun seen as a project more likely to receive Binance's support. 3. Clear Points and Asset Conversion Plan: After the acquisition, Probable users' points will be converted to Predict points at a 1:2 ratio, and the USDT transaction fees paid on Probable will be refunded at double value, ensuring the rights of existing users. 4. Impressive Team Background and Investors: The founder of PredictFun is former Binance executive @dingalingts, and both PredictFun and Probable have received investment from YZI Labs, gaining recognition from the community for their strong backgrounds. 5. Response to Failed Cases in the Same Sector: Tweets pointed out that another prediction platform, Opinion, lost user trust due to behaviors like "anti-community exploitation," and its failure catalyzed this acquisition, prompting PredictFun and Probable to merge for survival and development. 6. Localization of Management and Operations: Former Probable Asia-Pacific head Yue Xiaoyu will remain and serve as the Asia-Pacific head of PredictFun, responsible for localized operations, user growth, and community building, ensuring a smooth transition post-acquisition. 7. Narrative Potential in the Sector: Some believe that the prediction market is an important narrative for 2026, and this merger is expected to make PredictFun the leader in the BNB ecosystem's prediction market, attracting market attention. 8. Simplified User Participation: For users participating in both platforms, the merger allows them to focus solely on PredictFun, reducing complexity and increasing efficiency. 3. Key Data and Metrics According to tweet information, since its launch in December 2025, PredictFun has accumulated a trading volume exceeding $1.5 billion, with over 120,000 users and more than 3.3 million on-chain transactions. These figures indicate that it has built a considerable user base and trading activity in a short period. 4. Project Risks The tweet explicitly mentioned the risks of projects in the same sector, such as Opinion, which failed due to behaviors like "anti-community exploitation" and treating users as ATMs, revealing the ethical and operational risks that may exist in the prediction market sector. 1. Yue Xiaoyu @yuexiaoyu announced that Probable has been acquired by PredictFun, and he will serve as the Asia-Pacific head of PredictFun, calling on original users to continue their support. 2. @Joensmoon analyzed that the merger of PredictFun and Probable is a survival strategy for BSC ecosystem prediction projects, mentioning that PF data is slightly better and favorable. 3. @oooooyoung reported on PredictFun's acquisition of Probable, noting that Probable points will be converted to Predict points at a 1:2 ratio. ...