94%+ chance of US/Israel striking Iran every day up until March 7 It’s March 3 today. There’s also been reports on Iran threatening to attack Oil ships passing through the strait of Hormuz and Saudi’s Aramco exploring Red Sea routes. This alternative will lead to longer shipping timeframe and delivery costs and most importantly requiring stronger naval escorts since it’s going over longer distances The Red Sea is not completely safe as well, with chokepoints like Bab el-Mandeb.