📢 Before the attack broke out, funds had already placed their bets: How to use prediction markets to provide early warnings of US-Israeli attacks on Iran? Just now, the US and Israel launched coordinated military actions against Iran. The crypto market plummeted instantly, with $BTC dropping 3.45% in 24 hours. So how do we provide warnings? 🔍 How did the market predict this in advance? 1️⃣ Multiple countries urgently evacuated their citizens: The US authorized non-essential personnel at its embassy in Israel to leave immediately, China urged its citizens to evacuate Iran as soon as possible, and the UK temporarily withdrew its diplomatic personnel from Iran. 2️⃣ On February 26, the US and Iran resumed indirect nuclear negotiations in Geneva, but no agreement was reached. Both sides stated that there was progress but significant differences remained, and technical discussions continued, yet the deadlock was hard to conceal; Trump publicly expressed dissatisfaction. 3️⃣ The dynamic prediction market channel @PolyBeats started intensively reminding yesterday: - On February 26, two new accounts spent $164.5k betting that "the US will attack Iran before 2.28." - Yesterday, as many as 4 new addresses collectively bet $66.5k expecting an attack within three days. 💡 Biteye's perspective: Don't just see Polymarket as a betting platform. Last night, the Yes price for "US strikes Iran on the 28th" had already soared to $0.30, essentially indicating that geopolitical risks in the Middle East are escalating, and it is a signal for investors to exit immediately and hedge against risks.