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Are L2s Dying?
It’s all 3 at once: growth at the system level, saturation at the general-purpose layer, and a reset in security + economics.
First, growth is undeniable.
On an activity frame, rollups are doing ~2.13K user ops/sec vs Ethereum L1 ~33.13 UOPS. That’s ~100x scaling in raw execution demand.
Converted, that’s ~184M user ops/day on rollups vs ~2.86M on L1.
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But the structure just changed.
- #Base alone is sitting >60% of all L2 txn share
- Base roughly 47% of rollup DeFi TVL, Arbitrum ~31%, OP mainnet ~6%, everyone else fighting for scraps.
- Base is migrating off the Optimism OP Stack to operate its own chain.
- In January 2026, total gas fees across OP Stack were ~68.2 ETH (~$199.7K). Base alone accounted for ~$192.9K - ~96.5%.
- In 2025, Base generated an estimated 71–90%+ of Superchain sequencer revenue.
Base was already the only L2 with a clearly positive 2025 bottom line (~$55M after blob costs). No token required.
If a chain is just a generic EVM-but-cheaper rollup, idk who exactly they’re stealing users from.
Because they’re not outcompeting Base’s distribution funnel, not out-liquiding #Arbitrum’s DeFi bank vibe, and not out-network-effecting #OP Stack as infra.
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