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*VERY IMPORTANT*
Here’s my thesis on the exact timing of the next cycle bottom.
I’m using the horizontal axis (time) to pinpoint the next major capitulation point.
Here’s the data regarding the days elapsed from all-time high to cycle low for each era:
1st Halving (2012): 406 days
2nd Halving (2016): 363 days
3rd Halving (2020): 376 days
4th Halving (2024): Pending
Based on these historical timeframes, there’s a high statistical probability that the next major bottom will occur in october – november 2026.
During that specific window, regardless of price action, aggressive dollar cost averaging is the correct play. I will be accumulating heavily.
However, I have already started buying since we entered the $60,000 range, even though the time window hasn't hit yet.
Here is the logic behind my strategy.
I operate on two dimensions: the horizontal axis (time) and the vertical axis (price).
Most retail traders only focus on the Vertical Axis ("I'll buy at X price").
The risk here is obvious: if price doesn't hit your level, you get front-run and miss the entire cycle.
The safe zone is often the zone where you get left behind.
The horizontal axis is the hedge against that risk....
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