Trending topics
#
Bonk Eco continues to show strength amid $USELESS rally
#
Pump.fun to raise $1B token sale, traders speculating on airdrop
#
Boop.Fun leading the way with a new launchpad on Solana.
Bitcoin broke below $70K.
Stay calm. History rewards the patient
Down ~8% today. ~46% off ATH.
Fear & Greed is pinned at Extreme Fear.
Headlines are all bears.
The Math:
BTC is ~45% below power-law trend value
($123K fair value vs ~$67.7K spot, R² = 0.961 over 15+ years).
At 22 months post-halving, this is the deepest oversold reading yet in a phase where prior cycles were usually overbought.
Z-score: -0.85 (statistically cheap)
In this oversold regime:
• 1Y forward win rate: 100%
• Avg forward return: +100% plus
• 18-month Z vs forward return correlation: -0.745
(about 55% of variance explained)
Mean-reversion half-life: 133 days.
Drift path alone implies ~$111K by mid-2026.
When choosing between panic and math, math wins.
Stay calm. History rewards patience.
#DYOR

Top
Ranking
Favorites
