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Exercise: Average the last 8 full weeks of our Trump Approval data (14,400 completes) by Demo and compare it to our 2024 Trump Presidential Final. Party Weighting remains the same - D35, R33, I32. And no, we don't believe their 2024 exit polls anymore than we believed their other 2024 polls. 💩
2024 Final vs Avg Last 8 wks
All Voters: 49% v 45%
Men: 51% v 50%
Women: 46% v 41%
18-39: 45% v 44%
40-64: 50% v 45%
65+: 51% v 47%
White: 52% v 47%
Black: 30% v 31%
Hispanic: 49% v 49%
Other: 47% v 46%
DEM: 14% v 18%
IND: 49% v 41%
GOP: 84% v 79%
Detailed Age Demos - Avg Last 8 Wks
18-29: 41%
30-39: 47%
40-49: 45%
50-64: 46%
Our un-rounded 2024 finals were Trump 48.7, Harris 46.3 or Trump +2.4%. The actual PV was Trump +1.5%

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