"It's very hard to me to see how it could take longer than that" [a few years] Perceivable acceleration is almost here. Dario Amodei talks openly about how we're nearing the moment when the loop closes and models start to meaningfully speed up AI research. Outside our bubble, most people have absolutely no idea that we could be just 6 to 12 months away from powerful AI models capable of accelerating progress in a way that resembles a fast takeoff. Sure, as Dario remarks, there could be physical roadblocks (like chips) that slow things down. But again, it's nearer than most people think, and the majority of the world is living as if nothing is happening. 2026 will be a weird year. Brace yourself for the next generation of models.