Sentient's FDV Polymarket breakdown. Market's pricing in a launch somewhere between $600M and $1B FDV. Here's are the odds: > 98% above 200M > 91% above 400M > 82% above 600M > 71% above 800M > 45% above 1B > 17% above 2B Total volume is $278K. That makes most of the action concentrated around the 600M to 1B range. Seeing the drop from 71% at 800M to 45% at 1B tells us predictors are convinced the valuation should be somewhere around there. That switch from majority yes to majority no happens right at the 1B mark. Volume distribution: > 84K on the 200M market > 44K on the 1B market > 42K on both 400M and 2B markets Predictors are currently heavy on the floor & ceiling. Not much questions around 200M or 400M, those levels are basically locked. So, will we see @SentientAGI sustain a $1B valuation? Compare this to other launches: > Base is priced at 92% above 2B. > Extended at 73% above 300M.
Shann³
Shann³Jan 8, 19:00
State of @SentientAGI marketing. One of the most anticipated Q1 2026 launches. Was supposed to drop Q4 but got postponed. Most likely due to market conditions. They hit their mindshare peak back in October & November. Pretty natural as CT follows the same curve in active users. Their team is still very active on CT. @0xsachi leading mindshare contribution, @sandeepnailwal repping as co-founder. Excited about their launch, hope they get a solid start.
Maybe you program a trade based on the polymarket %s
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