Generally trades follow three phases: 1) What is the market expectations 2) How far off are the market expectations (supposed to go much higher? Should be going lower? Should reverse) 3) What would change the market’s mind Most people focus on 2) and that’s how investment ideas are written? Neglecting 1) results in good catalyst not giving you the pump you want (or sometimes it crashes). Neglecting 3) means you spend your days in purgatory hell with the price just see-sawing (or going against you) for a long time. I am really really bad at 3 lmao.