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the gap between dario, demis, and ilya takes is huge
dario: country of geniuses in a data center in 2 years; scaling + small tweaks might be enough for AGI
ilya: ASI is 5-20 years out; scaling alone won't get us to AGI
demis: AGI in 5-10 years; scaling could work, but likely needs 1-2 big breakthroughs
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