Certainty absolutely kills. I’ve been biased that the cycle thesis is breaking, but so far it hasn’t. Yeah I have lost some money because I bet on it but I was nowhere near certain. I defended a lot of capital and took smaller chunks and risked it. So I barely got hurt and I can live to fight another day, double down, whatever I want. People on CT act like you need to be some sort of perfectionist to be able to stick around and actually make money here, you don’t.