Regarding the upcoming market predictions and strategies The long adjustment from August to November is likely coming to an end. Although the market in November was brutal, dropping from 126,200 directly to 80,000, losing 46,000u in 45 days, a decline of nearly 37%. But this sharp drop has precisely released the accumulated risks all at once. Rather than a slow and painful loss, it’s better to clear out in one go. Based on this, I believe the medium-term adjustment risks in the market have been fully released. 🔭 Regarding future judgments: The bubble in US stocks related to AI is not currently obvious, and the Nasdaq and S&P are likely to continue reaching new highs in the next 1-2 months. Riding this macro tailwind, I predict that in the next 3-4 months, Bitcoin will likely rebound and return to new highs. 📝 My operational strategy: ✅ Current phase: Since the risks have been released, the strategy shifts to a fully bullish outlook, patiently waiting for Bitcoin to rebound (although a 50%+ increase is needed, liquidity will return quickly). ⚠️ Key turning point (risk control): Please remember, my bullish outlook is medium-term, but my judgment of a "long-term bear market" for the next year and a half remains unchanged. When to reverse? Keep an eye on the Federal Reserve's interest rates. When rates drop to around 2.75% - 3%, a macro recession is likely confirmed, which will be the final exit signal. At that time, I will liquidate my positions and go fully short. #BTC #Crypto #行情推演 #投资策略