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Diane (Head of Product for Research at @Anthropic) discussed how her perspective on AI progress has shifted, countering recent skepticism about agent timelines.
Q: What's one thing you've changed your mind on in AI in the last year?
"I actually think we are closer to 'transformative long-running AI' than I expected even starting the year. Like it actually feels like the building blocks are kind of there."
Q: Do you fit into [Anthropic's] aggressive ASI timelines?
"I would say my timelines have probably moved up this year based on... models like Opus 4.5."
She emphasizes that we aren't hitting a technical wall, but rather a product one:
"I feel like the building blocks are actually closer than we think. And that it's actually more of like a product overhang... product opportunities to express it."

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