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DON’T LET ANYONE FOOL YOU, THE BULL MARKET IS OVER.
Here are the objective reasons why I think the Bear Market just started, and why 2026 could be a terrible year for crypto:
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1. Weekly Supertrend Flipped Bearish
The weekly Supertrend has acted as a reliable indicator for the start/end of every major Bull & Bear Market.
Last week, it flipped Bearish.
Historically when this indicator flashes, momentum shifts down and the market tends to struggle.
This signal usually marks the start of a longer down trend and I don't expect this time to be different.
2. Bitcoin Breaking Macro Bull Market Support
From the start of the Bull Market price has respected this upward sloping trend line as support and has bounced off multiple times.
For the first time, we are clearly breaking below this long term trend line which is signaling a macro shift in the market.
3. Two Weekly Closes below the 50W MA
When we get two consecutive weekly closes below the 50 Week Moving Average it has marked the end of the Bull Market.
Unless Bitcoin can move above $103k by Sunday, we will have officially two weekly closes below this trend line.
This only didn’t lead to a full Bear Market once (2021). But historically, this leads to much lower prices more often than not.
So although it is not a guaranteed, it is likely we will have a bearish 2026....




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