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Jon Stokes
There's a very old (as in Biblical wisdom literature old), response to this, but nobody wants to hear it (👈 also anticipated in the wisdom literature): don't build your identity around being good at things; don't pursue capabilities as ends in themselves. Seek the transcendent.
22.7. klo 08.59
the openai IMO news hit me pretty heavy this weekend
i'm still in the acute phase of the impact, i think
i consider myself a professional mathematician (a characterization some actual professional mathematicians might take issue with, but my party my rules) and i don't think i can answer a single imo question
ok, yes, imo is its own little athletic subsection of math for which i have not trained, etc. etc., but. if i meet someone in the wild who has an IMO gold, i immediately update to "this person is much better at math than i am"
now a bunch of robots can do it. as someone who has a lot of their identity and their actual life built around "is good at math," it's a gut punch. it's a kind of dying.
like, one day you discover you can talk to dogs. it's fun and interesting so you do it more, learning the intricacies of their language and their deepest customs. you learn other people are surprised by what you can do. you have never quite fit in, but you learn people appreciate your ability and want you around to help them. the dogs appreciate you too, the only biped who really gets it. you assemble for yourself a kind of belonging. then one day you wake up and the universal dog translator is for sale at walmart for $4.99
the IMO result isn't news, exactly. in fact, if you look at the METR agent task length over time plot, i think agents being able to solve ~ 1.5 hour problems is coming right on time. so in some way we should not be surprised. and indeed, it appears multiple companies have achieved the same result. it's just... the rising tide rising as fast as it has been rising
of course, grief for my personal identity as a mathematician (and/or productive member of society) is the smallest part of this story
multiply that grief out by *every* mathematician, by every coder, maybe every knowledge worker, every artist... over the next few years... it's a slightly bigger story
and of course, beyond that, there is the fear of actual death, which perhaps i'll go into more later.
this package -- grief for relevance, grief for life, grief for what i have known -- isn't unique to the ai age or anything like that. i think it is a standard thing as one appreaches end of career or end of life. it just might be that that is coming a bit sooner for many of us, all at once.
i wonder if we are ready
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Jon Stokes kirjasi uudelleen
The internet is breeding entirely new species through a kind of decentralized, memetic gain-of-function research on human types. The men who signup for this show have studied a fair amount of data, which they've memorized reasonably well. They spent their formative years watching "content," carefully studying the techniques whereby their favorite personalities "destroy" their opponents with facts and logic. Then, finding their paths to adult male glory thwarted at every turn, a show like this represents their first real opportunity for recognition (which is not a luxury but a true human need, as Hegel noted). And after all those years sharpening their knives, they really do bring an unprecedented verbal style, more ruthlessly optimized on a single dimension than any men in history. Fast, vicious, cutting, and breathless. And yet, this gentleman gets flustered when asked his name. I've never seen anything like it, he almost starts sweating when asked his name. Despite all of their training, despite having become discourse superpredators, it's all achieved by such a monstrous neglect of other basic abilities that it completely undercuts their performance and guarantees the extinction of this otherwise fascinating germline.
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