If Brown and Casey had managed to eke it out in OH and PA in 2024, Dems would have pretty good odds on taking back the Senate. Flipping ME and NC alone would be enough. But they didn't, and now they need both of those and 2 of AK/IA/TX/OH/NE. So I'm pessimistic.

Also, if Barnes had won in WI, or Beasley in NC. 4 missed opportunities.