ETH has rarely broken below the 200-week moving average, with only three occurrences in history: • Late 2018 to early 2019: After breaking, it lasted for about 12 months (between $83 and $300); • March 2020: A brief drop during the COVID crash (plummeting to $88, quickly recovered); • June 2022 to early 2023: After breaking, it lasted for about 9 months (bottoming at $880); Now in 2026, this is the fourth time, and it has lasted for over a month, with an unknown duration.