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Prediction Market OI reached new weekly ATH at $1.25B
Prediction market open interest just hit a new all-time high of $1.25B, up 27% comparing with week before. The primary driver is clear: the US-Israel strikes on Iran that began late February triggered a flood of capital into prediction markets.
OI breakdown for the last week higs:
• @Kalshi - $810M
• @Polymarket - $415M
• @opinionlabsxyz - $27.7M
• @predictdotfun - $14.2M
• @0xProbable - $585K
• @MyriadMarkets - $563K
• @trylimitless - $557K
A single multi-outcome market on Polymarket on the timing of strikes accumulated over $500M in bets alone. Traders wagered more than $194M on whether Khamenei would be removed as Supreme Leader - a market that resolved on Feb 28 when he was confirmed killed in the first wave of airstrikes.
Notably, Opinion OI continues to decline, collapsing over 70% – from a $96M to $27.7M – in one week.
Airdrop farmers exited, nad capital that was parked on Opinion chasing points is now rotating into Kalshi and Polymarket, consolidating around winners.
Source 🔗@artemis

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