Anthropic just dropped labor market data on AI displacement. 🟦 = What AI is already capable of. 🟥 = The capacity at which people are using it. The "Great Recession for white collar workers" scenario they modeled? Unemployment doubling from 3% to 6% in the most exposed jobs. Not happening yet. But the early signal is there. Hiring of 22 to 25 year olds into AI-exposed roles is already down 14%. Computer Programmers. Customer Service. Financial Analysts. 67 to 75% of their tasks are already covered. AI is only at 33% of its theoretical capability. We are in the early innings.