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only in sf do you need a statistical model to figure out if someone is interested in you.
i analyzed n=47 post-party interactions. here's the model:
platform intent score:
- slack connect: -1/10. autistic. he wants to do business. not the fun kind.
- linkedin: 0/10. a professional courtesy.
- partiful invite to something: 0/10. he is stringing you along.
- twitter/x: 2/10. he's subscribing to your feed, not to you.
- instagram: 7/10. he's interested.
- text: 8/10. he's either a real one or a sociopath.
key modifiers:
- he's a founder: -1 to score. he's dating his startup. you're a distraction.
- he's a VC: -2 to score. you are deal flow.
- added you in < 1 hour: +1.5. dopamine is high.
- added you in > 24 hours: -2. you are a task in his weekend CRM running on his new OpenClaw setup.
- first message is an inside joke: +2.5. he was actually listening.
- doesn't follow you back on twitter: -100. fatal error.
the bar in sf is a github commit and a follow-back
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