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[NFTs aren’t dead, they’re just moving through the cycle]
@LucaNetz keeps his view on the nft market very simple.
not everything needs a “death narrative”.
“No, I think the NFTs are going through its four-year bear cycle and we're probably at the end of it.”
look at the timeline:
- 2021 → mania
- 2022 → collapse
- 2023 → disbelief
- 2024 → exhaustion
the pattern is almost identical to how speculative markets usually behave.
what’s interesting is that while many people say nfts are dead, the physical collectible market is exploding.
- pokemon
- trading cards
- sports cards
a lot of speculative capital is flowing there right now.
“Digital collectibles will win once again.”
today the collectible market is still dominated by physical items.
roughly:
> 99% physical collectibles
> 1% digital collectibles
in a world becoming increasingly digital, that ratio will not stay the same forever.
cc: @LucaNetz, @paulbarron, @paulbarrontv
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