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Inflation momentum and BTC finding a bottom


Feb 23, 2026
Still tinkering...
But the dashboards say there is a disconnect here (at least wrt BTC), not dissimilar to Covid - two composites here are smoothed vs non-smoothed
Bitcoin basically collapsed with inflation momentum - when inflation momentum reverses, conditions are there for a bid?
In either case, plenty of room to the upside for the broader 'market cycle' (irrespective of BTC price-action)
Perhaps some confluence for the view that 2023-2025 = extended 2019 - 'cycle within a bigger cycle' where a giga blow-off top is still x years away




Confluence:
Win rate + Sharpe + Annualised Return when allocated to BTC solely during current model regime

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