Just yesterday, I was pondering whether to place a bet on the Polymarket market "When will Khamenei step down" for March 31, and this morning, the news flooded in that Khamenei has already died... I looked into the major holders of this market, and they are all political experts and insider smart money. From their holdings, I found some interesting related markets: 1. An unresolved market "Which country will attack Iran first: the US or Israel?" Israel currently has 66c, with a 30% arbitrage opportunity? 2. Will Iran agree to halt uranium enrichment before March 31? 3. Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz? 4. When will the US and Iran reach an agreement on nuclear weapons? The related markets include "When will Putin meet Trump" and "When will Trump visit China"... there are also mispriced opportunities 🤔