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NEW: Quantus Insights Poll | Feb 25–26, 2026: Ken Paxton leads the Texas GOP Senate primary and the electorate is largely locked in.
📊 Texas Republican Primary
🔴 Paxton: 43%
🔴 Cornyn: 37.6%
🔴 Hunt: 15.7%
⚪️Undecided: 3.7%
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Paxton holds a 5-point edge.
But the bigger story: 86% of voters say they are firmly committed or unlikely to change. There is very little persuasion space left in this race.
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Among voters strongly aligned with America First/MAGA (51% of the electorate), Paxton dominates:
🔴Paxton: 59.5%
🔴Cornyn: 24.2%
That bloc alone makes up over two-thirds of Paxton’s total coalition. The structural core of his lead.
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This isn’t a fluid primary. It’s a turnout and intensity contest.
Read full report at quantus insights dot org. Links in bio.

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