'Greeny, when will $BTC bottom?' If we compare the last three bear cycle periods using monthly stochastic momentum from where it is today, we can start to form an understanding. We are currently at the 56th percentile coming down very aggressively. The next monthly close pivot is ~$115k (which means if price is below there than expect momentum to continue either sideways or lower). From the 56th percentile (where price is today): In 2014 - 2015: price took 396 days to bottom. In 2018 - 2019: price took 335 days to bottom. In 2022 - 2023: price took 275 days to bottom. Two main take aways for me: 1. Price is spending less time in bear markets periods with diminishing 'time periods' evident. Each cycle is reducing by around ~60 days. 2. We therefore likely still have at least ~215 days left until we could see a Bitcoin bottom using this indicator along. Depending how aggressive price continues to dump will determine how fast we get to the value area of oversold territory (I would argue the majority of price capitulation has been observed already), but we could easily go lower in time. But it's obvious yet again, that time in this bear market looks set to be the 'shortest' period in history from this 56th percentile marker today. Why would bear market periods be shortening? The same analysis can be drawn from the previous ATHs to the next bear market lows. A key point to note here, the Monthly stochastic DOES NOT PREDICT the bottom, rather it confirms a structural shift in momentum on high time frames and still gives you GREAT VALUE to accumulate as price is in the OVERSOLD territory (below 20th percentile). Price bottomed between two months and four months prior to this bullish monthly stochastic cross. Therefore, I could see a Bitcoin bottom and cross back bullish on the monthly stochastic roughly in ~September 2025. Assuming all of the above and how quickly we have already aggressively dumped, I will assume that $BTC puts in a macro low between June and August this year (PENDING any Black Swann events). A wide range I know, but it's unbiased analysis and NO ONE KNOWS when markets will bottom or top, but my experience has taught me that price always has a story to tell and I know how to read it. As you all know I've been buying spot Bitcoin already and have orders set down to ~$50k, but I'm eagerly awaiting price to show me a re-accumulation range over weeks, if not months... AND the monthly stochastic to start trading below the 20th percentile (where historically has been a GREAT BUYING opportunity for Bitcoin in bear markets)....