Last season, Max Verstappen did not podium 41% of races. So far this season he did not podium in 53% of races. This seems like a pretty good discount to me sitting at 22% for "NO" on @MyriadMarkets. I'm taking it, will see if the market adjust to "fair price", if not will probably see how it goes tmro.

channeling my @EasyEatsBodega with this one

I'll add that a counterargument to this is traditional betting markets put the odds at him being top 3 around 73%. So he's heavily favored for sure - I only looked at podium %, there are definitely other metrics worth considering.

Took the L here unfortunately, but had some good feedback from folks and learned a decent amount more about F1!