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David Shor
Head of Data Science at Blue Rose Research, based in NYC, originally from Miami. I try to elect Democrats. Views are my own. he/him🌹
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New blog post!
"There is a silent majority in America"
Once again I'm looking at this awesome high-response rate mail survey the NYT ran in 2022 and what it says about the actual shape of the electorate. The silent majority is real and it's distrustful moderates.
Link below!
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An analysis showing non-white voters disproportionately swung right in the last Dutch election as well
15.7. klo 03.06
Analyse @davidshor toont dat buurten met veel niet-witte inwoners in London, NYC & Toronto in sterkere mate uitwijken naar rechts dan buurten met veel witte inwoners.
Ik heb die analyse toegepast op Amsterdam en daar ontstaat hetzelfde patroon.
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Adding this incredible chart from @DKThomp to the mix.
There has been an enormous decline in in-person socialization that has corresponded with massive declines in mental wellbeing and dramatic increases in selfishness and political radicalism over the past decade.
4.6.2025
We’ve seen:
1) a dramatic short term increase in diagnosed mental illness and N-linked psychometric items first among teenagers and then among young adults
2) highly cohort specific bipartisan support for cold blooded murder mediated by (1)
3) A sudden and dramatic shift in preferences toward making money and away from family after ~30 years of stability
4) probably the fastest change in media consumption in the history of the world
5) Dramatic increases in time spent alone across and simultaneous declines in coupling rates and fertility rates in nearly every country in the world.
I think (5) is probably related to all of the other things and the broader context points to this being something bigger than a misspecified period-cohort model.
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