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Warren Pies

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Mike Shell26.7. klo 20.29

Sentiment extremes signal asymmetry: extreme optimism historically precedes poor forward returns and higher risk.

12,13K

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Mark Biller26.7. klo 20.04

Warren and Fernando consistently churning out excellent insights

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Warren Pies26.7. klo 19.26

Prior to covid, ~60% of U.S. households could make the payment on an average house at prevailing mortgage rates. Post-covid, ~40% of households can afford the average house. This chart explains the post-covid angst more than any other I can think of.

83,17K

Warren Pies26.7. klo 06.03

S&P 500 Equal Weight made a new ATH today. This cures most of the breadth concerns that were floating around earlier this month.

Warren Pies16.7. klo 03.15

S&P 500 Mega-cap strength masking weakness under the surface (S&P equal-weight down >1% today). Median S&P stock was more than 13% away from a 52 week high as the index made new highs. Bulls need rally to broaden. Fwiw, we neutralized our equity overweight last week.

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Warren Pies25.7. klo 09.12

S&P 500 - SENTIMENT Now touching extreme optimism. Would be logical to see the market cool between mid-August and mid-October. @3F_Research

70,02K

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3Fourteen Research25.7. klo 05.44

New report out to 3FR clients: -Trump's threat to replace Powell w/ an administration puppet is accelerating the debasement mindset. -Automatic flows to dry up between mid-August and October. -Introducing the new 3Fourteen Daily Sentiment Composite.

17,49K

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SpenserLerner23.7. klo 08.44

1/ Hated rallies persist until they're loved. This rally might be one of the most hated rallies in recent memory, second perhaps only to the 2023 rally following the Fed's aggressive hiking cycle and banking crisis.

13,44K

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Jared L Kubin23.7. klo 05.11

4 Quadrants of Hell in L/S: - High Short Interest names rip - Low Quality >> High Quality - Short Losers RIP - Negative Revisions (++) vs Positive Revisions (--)