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Crypto Derivatives 20 March 2025

Keep up with the latest in crypto market commentary as we share the insights from our institutional research partners.

In this edition, we share the latest crypto derivatives weekly from Block Scholes.

While not delivering a complete recovery rally back to January’s all-time high, this week has at least seen a pause in the intense and persistent collapse in risk appetite. Futures yields continue to fall and funding rates trade negative. However, the skew towards OTM puts pricedin by volatility smiles across the term structure was briefly erased as the lower level of delivered volatility has caused a dis-inversion in the term structure of at-the-money implied volatility. Front-end volatility levels for BTC and ETH trade below 45% and 60% respectively — the bottom of their respective ranges in March.

ATM Implied Volatility, 1-Month Tenor

F1 OKX Currency-Combined-1M-ATM-VOL-ETH

BTC Options

F2 BTC SVI Vol term structure

BTC SVI ATM Implied Volatility

F3 OKX BTC SVI ATM volatility

Short dated volatility levels fall to 45%, their lowest levels since the period of repeated inversion began in March.

BTC 25-Delta Risk Reversal

F4 OKX BTC SVI PC skew

BTC’s skew briefly traded positive, in favour of OTM calls, before reversing direction after spot slips

ETH Options

F5 ETH SVI Vol term structure

ETH SVI ATM Implied Volatility

F6 OKX ETH SVI ATM volatility

The dis-inversion of the term structure continues as 7d tenor volatility falls below 60%

ETH 25-Delta Risk Reversal

F7 OKX ETH SVI PC skew

Skew recovers from its steeper skew towards OTM puts, but remains tilted towards downside protection

Market Composite Volatility Surface

F8 okx snap BTC SMILES.moneyness
F9 okx snap ETH SMILES.moneyness

Listed Expiry Volatility Smiles

F10 BTC BTC-25APR25 Listed Expiry
F11 ETH ETH-25APR25 Listed Expiry

Constant Maturity Volatility Smiles

F12 BTC-SVI Constant Maturity
F13 ETH-SVI Constant Maturity

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